| Past SenseAs you read the story of macroeconomics that these pages
         tell, you might notice that it puts more stress on history
         than the leading textbooks do. Some of the leading textbooks
         have virtually no discussion of the past. Perhaps their
         authors believe that history will bore students. Or perhaps
         there are other reasons. Many of the leading textbook authors are recognized as
         experts--they have reputations for being at the top of the
         profession. Their expertise is a primary reason that their
         books are selected. Professors often use the textbook as an
         authority and it is hard to do that if the textbook is not
         written by a big name in economics. Expert authors usually
         explain the theoretical approach that they think gives the
         best understanding of how the world works. There is no
         necessary role for history in this approach, but there is an
         alternative. In macroeconomics there has always been considerable
         disagreement on how best to understand the world. The
         experts disagree. The history of ideas and events not only
         helps one understand why this disagreement exists, it is an
         interesting story in its own right. Macroeconomics has not
         seen slow and steady progress refining its basic and
         fundamental theory. Rather it has seen sharp turns, detours,
         and occasional retreats. Economic positions have been forged
         in intellectual wars and by the failures and successes that
         economists have had as their ideas have been used in the
         real world. Not all history is equally important. Macroeconomics has
         roots that go back centuries. If you study American history,
         you will encounter several major controversies in the 19th
         century that were about macroeconomic issues. For example,
         early in the century Andrew Jackson battled the Second Bank
         of the United States and killed it, an outcome that had
         significant macroeconomic consequences. Fifty years later
         controversies involving the monetary roles of gold and
         silver excited the American public and were a key part of
         populist discontent and protest. However, the impact of
         these controversies on us today is minimal. Although the
         economists of the day were interested in and studied these
         dispute, these issues appeared and disappeared without
         significantly shaping the way the next generations of
         economists viewed the world. The Great Depression of the 1930s did change the way a
         generation of economists viewed the world. The British
         economist John Maynard Keynes proposed a way to understand
         the Great Depression that attracted many of the brightest
         young economics students of his day. These economists,
         convinced that they had important new insights into how the
         world worked, invented macroeconomics as a separate subfield
         of economics. One of them, Paul Samuelson, wrote the
         textbook that become the standard economics textbook for the
         post-World War II era. It evangelized the "new economics" of
         the "Keynesian revolution" and raised macroeconomics to
         equality with microeconomics. The Keynesian view of the world dominated other views in
         the 1960s and early 1970s. Although it always had critics,
         it was not argument but events and problems of the 1970s
         that caused the next generation of economists to renounce
         parts of the Keynesian faith. Ideas when tried often do not
         work as their proponents had expected, and when the
         Keynesian ideas were tried, they stumbled. Older,
         pre-Keynesian ideas saw a revival, and new ideas were
         developed to patch up the cracks in the Keynesian edifice.
         Some of these ideas were tried in the late 1970s and early
         1980s in an attempt to curb inflation, and the results of
         that period have also shaped future economists. In the chapters ahead we will try to make sense of how
         macroeconomists view issues and problems by discussing
         several conflicting views. We will often look at the past to
         understand how these ideas and theories fit into the big
         picture of macroeconomics. In our telling of macroeconomics,
         history is important, the past matters, and a sense of the
         past is often a key to the present. 
   Copyright
         Robert Schenk
 |